![]() This is one of those confusing spreads that makes you wonder if someone knows something we don’t. Final Thoughts on Baylor vs BYU Best Bets If BYU can’t run the ball, that puts more pressure on quarterback Jaren Hall, who was pressured on 39% of his dropbacks, including five sacks, against Baylor last season.īaylor ranked eighth in the nation in opponent-adjusted pressure rate last year, and returns two of its top three pass rushers ( Gabe Hall and Siaji Ika ). If Baylor was able to limit Allgeier’s ability to find open space last year, and Brooks couldn’t find running lanes against lowly South Florida, it’s hard to imagine the BYU run game having success in this rematch. Last year’s starting running back, Tyler Allgeier, was held under one yard before contact only twice: ![]() Īccording to Sports Info Solutions, Brooks averaged 0.5 yards before contact per attempt. When these teams met last year, Baylor quarterback Gerry Bohanon was pressured on just 25% of his dropbacks and was not sacked.īYU hung 50 points on South Florida, but there was one concerning trend in the game: BYU’s inability to create running lanes for Christopher Brooks. The Cougars ranked 81st in opponent-adjusted pressure rate in 2021, and posted an abysmal 12% pressure rate against South Florida last week. When Blake Shapen drops back to pass, he shouldn’t face much pressure from BYU’s pass rush. Baylor ran all over the Cougars’ defense, to the tune of 303 yards, including 188 from starting running back Abram Smith (now in the NFL).īYU held South Florida to 81 rushing yards last week, but did allow 2.0 yards before contact per attempt and did not record a single stop at or behind the line of scrimmage.īaylor lacks experience at running back, but if BYU can’t be disruptive in the backfield, it shouldn’t matter. » Bet it now: Baylor +3 When Baylor is on Offenseīaylor is a run-first offense, with a 55% run rate in a one-score game last season.īYU’s defense ranked 108th in opponent-adjusted EPA per rush in 2021, according to Sports Info Solutions. It’s tough to find a statistical edge for BYU in this matchup. In this rematch from last season, take Baylor and the points. Let’s take a look at a battle of ranked teams between No. This season I’ll be breaking down a few of college football’s biggest games each week and giving out at least one bet I like from each matchup.
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